2004 Telecoms in New Zealand - The dominance of incumbent Telecom is coming under increasing commercial pressure from TelstraClear and Vodafone,
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2004 Telecoms in New Zealand
BuddeCom
2004 Telecoms in New Zealand

The dominance of incumbent Telecom is coming under increasing commercial pressure from TelstraClear and Vodafone, as well as increasing regulatory pressure from a Telecommunications Commissioner who?s already shown a willingness to favour competition. Attention seems to have been all on broadband in 2003, with several networks rolling-out and extending to meet the demands of government, as well as business and residential users.


  • New Zealand’s telecommunications market in 2004 will exceed $6 billion for the first time;
  • Telecommunications services revenue for 2002-03 showed a modest 2.5% increase. Growth for 2004 is predicted to be 6.7%;
  • Growth in the data market is forecast at 10%, reaching $900 million in 2004;
  • The mobile market will approach $1.5 billion by late 2004, with Vodafone further increasing its market share;
  • The government will endorse the Commerce Commission’s recommendation to unbundle the local loop, but delays for consultation will mean no implementation during 2004;
  • Infrastructure is a natural monopoly – little room for duplication – upgrade to fibre to the home is needed;
  • The second- and third-tier telco market did little more than keep its head above water;
  • The Internet Service Provider (ISP) market continues to be a battle between the ‘Big Three’;
  • We expect 2004 to produce industry consolidation - no room for 3 mobile players;
  • With LLU and line sharing new players will enter the broadband market;
  • Telecom will have to expect disruptive developments from VoIP, Wi Fi and DSL TV.

    See this documents 'Table of Contents' for more details.

     
    1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 2004 
    1.1 Key developments 
    2. MARKET OVERVIEW AND ANALYSES 
    2.1 Key trends - review 2003 - forecast 2004 
    2.1.1 Market and regulatory overview 
    2.1.2 Major players 
    2.1.3 Infrastructure 
    2.1.4 Data and broadband 
    2.1.5 Mobile services 
    2.2 Analysis of the New Zealand market 
    2.2.1 Cautious optimism for Telecom in 2004 
    2.2.2 Massive mobile shake-up underway 
    2.2.3 The push for 3G services 
    2.2.4 Trans-Tasman telco harmonisation 
    2.2.5 Regulator eyeing the market 
    2.2.6 Regulations in 2004 - where to go from here? 
    2.2.7 NZ slipping further behind in broadband 
    2.2.8 Network outsourcing - which direction to take 
    2.3 Analyses major companies 
    2.3.1 Telecom Corporation of New Zealand 
    2.3.2 TelstraClear 
    2.3.3 Vodafone 
    2.3.4 Telecom vs TelstraClear 
    3. KEY STATISTICS AND MARKET OVERVIEW 
    3.1 Key statistics 
    3.2 Telecommunications market overview 
    4. REVENUE OVERVIEW (TABLES) 
    4.1 Revenue statistics by company 
    4.2 Total revenue statistics 
    4.3 Revenue growth statistics 
    4.4 Revenue by location and market 
    5. REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT 
    5.1 Overview 
    5.1.1 Regulations in 2003 
    5.1.2 The development of regulations 
    5.2 Analysis 
    5.2.1 New global monopolism 
    5.3 LLU and Interconnection 
    5.3.1 Local Loop Unbundling 
    5.3.2 Interconnection 
    5.4 Telecommunications Act and TSO 
    5.4.1 Framework of the Telecommunications Act 
    5.4.2 Developments to the Act in 2003 
    5.4.3 Background and historical developments 
    5.4.4 Telecommunications Service Obligations (Kiwi Share) 
    5.5 Wholesale and Number Portability 
    5.5.1 Wholesale 
    5.5.2 Number Portability 
    5.5.3 Telecommunications Information Privacy Code 2003 
    6. MAJOR PLAYERS 
    6.1 TSO contributors 
    6.2 Telecom Corporation New Zealand 
    6.3 Telstraclear Limited 
    6.4 Vodafone New Zealand Ltd 
    6.5 Other players 
    6.5.1 Broadcast Communications Limited (BCL) 
    6.5.2 CallPlus 
    6.5.3 Compass Communications 
    6.5.4 Southern Cross Cable Network 
    6.5.5 WorldxChange Communications 
    7. COMPETITION AND SERVICE PROVIDERS MARKET 
    7.1 Legislation levels the playing field 
    7.1.1 Background 
    7.2 New networks proliferate 
    7.3 The reach of Wireless extending 
    7.3.1 Battleground for mobile data 
    7.3.2 Mobile shake-up on the way 
    7.3.3 Vodafone ahead in mobile market 
    7.4 ISP changes on the way? 
    8. INFRASTRUCTURE 
    8.1 Overview 
    8.1.1 Network technologies 
    8.2 Rural telecommunications 
    8.3 Small local switches network 
    8.3.1 Switching Systems network 
    8.4 Infrastructure developments in 2003 
    8.4.1 IP network extended by TelstraClear 
    8.4.2 BCL's IP core goes live 
    8.4.3 Upgrade for Great Barrier Island 
    8.4.4 TelstraClear enters broadband wireless fray 
    8.4.5 BCL launches Extend 
    8.4.6 Fibre and wireless for Wired Country 
    8.4.7 New network in South Island 
    8.4.8 Increased capacity for Southern Cross Cable 
    8.4.9 Developments in 2002 
    8.4.10 Network fever in 2001 
    8.5 Public payphones 
    8.5.1 Payphone software glitch 
    9. FIXED NETWORK VOICE SERVICES 
    9.1 Market overview 
    9.2 Historical background 
    9.3 Regulatory impact 
    9.3.1 Local Loop Unbundling on the horizon 
    9.3.2 Wholesale pricing determination 
    9.3.3 Commissioner makes his intent clear 
    9.4 New networks and technologies 
    9.5 Line rentals 
    9.5.1 Connection costs 
    9.5.2 Business lines 
    9.5.3 Background and historical development 2001-2002 
    9.6 Call charges 
    9.6.2 Local calling 
    9.6.3 National calling 
    9.6.4 Home to mobile 
    9.6.5 International call market 
    9.6.6 NUS Surveys 
    9.7 Value-added voice services 
    9.7.1 SKY and Telecom together again 
    9.7.2 First bundled tolls and Internet package 
    9.8 Calling cards 
    9.9 Emergency calls 
    9.10 IP Telephony and Call Centres 
    9.10.1 IP telephony is now mature 
    9.10.2 IP telephony market 
    9.10.3 IP beyond VOIP 
    9.10.4 IP integrates voice and data 
    9.10.5 IP vendors 
    9.10.6 Technology issues 
    9.10.7 Regulatory issues 
    9.10.8 Call centres 
    10. DATA MARKET 
    10.1 Market overview 
    10.1.1 Telecom NZ dominates data 
    10.1.2 Migration to next generation network (NGN) 
    10.1.3 Bandwidth demand on the rise 
    10.1.4 Rising international volumes 
    10.1.5 New and niche developments for smaller operators 
    10.1.6 Convergence is the key 
    10.2 Mobile data 
    10.3 Open source solutions 
    10.4 Data developments in 2002 
    10.4.1 Proliferation of IP networks 
    10.4.2 AT&T wins TNZ business 
    10.4.3 Wholesaler extends network 
    10.4.4 Data over power lines 
    10.4.5 Telecom enters data alliances 
    10.5 Major data technologies 
    10.5.1 Overview 
    10.5.2 DSL 
    10.5.3 ATM 
    10.5.4 ISDN 
    10.5.5 Frame relay 
    10.5.6 PACNET 
    10.6 Major players in the data market 
    10.6.1 Introduction 
    10.6.2 Telecom NZ 
    10.6.3 TelstraClear 
    10.6.4 Vodafone 
    10.6.5 Woosh Wireless 
    10.6.6 ihug 
    10.6.7 CityLink 
    10.6.8 BCL 
    10.6.9 Tangent 
    10.6.10 Wired Country 
    10.6.11 Application Service Providers 
    11. INTERNET MARKET 
    11.1 Market overview 
    11.2 Internet usage 2002 - cracking the 2 million mark 
    11.2.1 Internet usage in 2003 
    11.2.2 Internet services 
    11.3 Hosts 
    11.3.1 Host computers 
    11.3.2 Major organisations 
    11.3.3 Domain names 
    11.3.4 Internet Code of Practice 
    12. ISP MARKET 
    12.1 Overview and trends 
    12.1.1 Market overview 
    12.1.2 Services and developments 
    12.2 Major players 
    12.2.1 Xtra 
    12.2.2 TelstraClear 
    12.2.3 ihug 
    12.2.4 Other ISPs 
    13. BROADBAND MARKET 
    13.1 Broadband economy 
    13.1.1 Broader economic impact 
    13.1.2 Business leaders unaware of the economic benefits of broadband 
    13.1.3 Protecting voice rather than embracing broadband 
    13.1.4 Missing industry dynamics 
    13.1.5 Underdeveloped infrastructure 
    13.1.6 Boom and bust? 
    13.1.7 No leadership from Telecom 
    13.1.8 What about wireless broadband? 
    13.1.9 Local Broadband Agendas and Steering Committees 
    13.1.10 What about competition? 
    13.1.11 Triple play industry partnerships needed 
    13.1.12 Simplify customer access business models 
    13.1.13 Key role for IT players 
    13.1.14 Telcos show little initiative or innovation in broadband development 
    13.2 Overview and obstacles 
    13.2.1 Broadband - a concept not a technology 
    13.2.2 The broadband market in New Zealand 
    13.2.3 Background to broadband 
    13.3 The Knowledge Wave Initiative 
    13.3.1 The Knowledge Wave follow-up 
    13.3.2 Project Probe - the wrong approach 
    13.3.3 Catching the Knowledge Wave 
    13.3.4 Telecommunications issue 
    13.3.5 TVNZ not allowed to catch the Knowledge Wave 
    13.4 Broadband roll-out in the regions 
    13.4.1 Introduction 
    13.4.2 Project PROBE 
    13.4.3 Southland the first to make a choice 
    13.4.4 ThePacific.Net 
    13.4.5 Other initiatives 
    13.4.6 Regional developments - 2001/2002 
    13.5 Providers and solutions 
    13.5.1 Broadband providers 
    13.5.2 Technologies and solutions 
    13.5.3 DSL services 
    13.5.4 Optical communications 
    13.6 Wireless broadband 
    13.6.1 Market overview 
    13.6.2 Wireless Internet 
    13.6.3 Satellite 
    13.6.4 Major players 
    14. E-COMMERCE 
    14.1 Overview 2003-2004 
    14.1.1 The state of E-New Zealand 
    14.1.2 The E-market in 2003 
    14.1.3 EFTPOS 
    14.2 E-Government 2003-2004 
    14.2.1 Overview 
    14.2.2 E-government developments in 2002 
    14.3 Education, Teleshopping and Telebanking 
    14.3.1 E-education in 2003 
    14.3.2 Teleshopping on the rise in 2003 
    14.3.3 Telebanking 
    15. WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS 
    15.1 Overview 
    15.1.1 Massive shake-up of the New Zealand telco market underway 
    15.1.2 Market overview 
    15.1.3 Statistical overview 
    15.1.4 Changes in the mobile market - 2003 
    15.1.5 Historical background 
    15.2 Major mobile operators 
    15.2.1 Major mobile operators - overview 
    15.2.2 Telecom Mobile 
    15.2.3 Vodafone NZ 
    15.2.4 TelstraClear 
    15.2.5 Econet Wireless New Zealand 
    15.2.6 Vendors 
    15.3 Mobile services 
    15.3.1 New services drive growth 
    15.3.2 Not just a phone anymore 
    15.3.3 Texting 
    15.3.4 WAP 
    15.3.5 Vodafone NZ 
    15.3.6 Telecom mobile 
    15.3.7 Prepaid cards 
    15.4 Spectrum 
    15.4.1 Overview 
    15.4.2 The Radiocommunications Act 1989 
    15.4.3 Spectrum auctions 
    15.4.4 Unlicensed spectrum 
    15.5 Third generation (3G) mobile 
    15.5.1 Overview 
    15.5.2 Vodafone announces plans for 3G network 
    15.5.3 TelstraClear targets new network 
    15.5.4 NZ 13th in 3G readiness 
    15.5.5 2.5G: A stepping stone 
    15.5.6 CallPlus enters 3G fray 
    15.6 Trunk Mobile radio (TMR) 
    15.6.1 Introduction 
    15.6.2 TeamTalk buys Telecom's mobile radio business 
    15.7 Mobile data 
    15.7.1 Market overview 
    15.7.2 Mobile data services 
    15.7.3 Mobile data networks 
    15.7.4 Dedicated mobile data 
    16. BROADCASTING MARKET 
    16.1 Overview 
    16.2 Kiwi viewers generally happy 
    16.3 Changing face of television in 2002 and 2003 
    16.4 Historical background 
    16.4.1 Technological changes 
    16.4.2 Competition arrives 
    16.5 More local programming 
    16.6 Competition for viewers 
    16.6.1 Prime hits highest ever viewing figures 
    16.6.2 More audience measured 
    16.6.3 Record viewers for America's Cup finale 
    16.6.4 Internet versus TV 
    16.6.5 TV3 No.1 in Auckland 
    16.7 Advertising 
    16.7.1 Rates rise for 2003 
    16.7.2 Advertising revenue up in 2002 
    16.7.3 TV ads go digital 
    16.7.4 Revenues down in 2002 
    16.8 Regulation - an open market with public funding 
    16.8.1 Public Broadcasting Charter 
    16.8.2 Beyond the Broadcasting Corporation of NZ 
    16.8.3 Broadcasting Act 
    16.8.4 The Broadcasting Standards Authority 
    16.8.5 New Zealand On Air /Irirangi Te Motu 
    16.8.6 Television Broadcasters' Council 
    16.8.7 Te Mangai Paho 
    16.9 Television and Radio 
    16.9.1 Free-to-Air TV 
    16.9.2 Digital TV 
    16.9.3 Pay and cable TV 
    16.9.4 Radio 
    16.10 Major players 
    16.10.1 Television New Zealand (TVNZ) 
    16.10.2 Sky Network Television 
    16.10.3 CanWest - TV3 and TV4 
    16.10.4 Prime Television New Zealand 
    16.10.5 TelstraClear 
    16.10.6 Totaliser Agency Board (TAB) 
    16.10.7 Regional television 
    16.11 Teletext and captioning 
    16.11.1 Teletext 
    16.11.2 Captioning 
    17.

     
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